🏛 The Cambridge Record
Search ▸ Communication to the City Council

a presentation regarding the Municipal Broadband Feasibility and Business Model Options

From the City Manager's office·Council meeting Mar 13, 2023·46 pages·📄 Original PDF (city portal)
MUNICIPAL BROADBAND FEASIBILITY AND BUSINESS MODEL OPTIONS Cambridge City Council Roundtable Discussion March 13, 2023
KEY STUDY FINDINGS • The full capital cost is estimated at ~$194 million, incorporating a 30% contingency and inflation over a 5-year construction period, assuming a 40% take-rate. • A City contribution of ~$150 million is required to establish a sustainable FTTP business from scratch, applying reasonable assumptions under a “base case”. This contribution is the investment the City would need to make for which there would likely be no return. The remaining capex can be supported from net revenues after operating costs. • Entering into a partnership with one or more entities to lease fiber and run the business would reduce the City’s risks and potentially reduce costs. A partner could potentially leverage existing operations and assets, achieving economies of scale. 2 FTTP in Cambridge will likely require a City contribution to be financially feasible
CAPITAL COST SUMMARY 3 Cost Component Costs* Project management & engineering $18.4M Utility pole make-ready $4.8M Distribution network construction (aerial & underground, labor & materials) $63.3M MDU fiber laterals and indoor cabling $27.4M Core network electronics $8.8M Total fixed cost $122.6M Fixed cost per passing $2,345 Distribution electronics cost $5.6M Customer activation cost (includes drops & CPE) $20.6M Total cost (without contingency) $148.9M Total cost per customer $7,117 Contingency (30%) $44.7M Total cost (with contingency) $194M Total cost per drop (with contingency) $9,252 *Assumes drops are built to 40% of passings
BASE CASE: CAPITAL CONSTRUCTION AND RENEWAL COSTS 4 Initial construction is over five years; figures assume 40% take-rate CAPITAL EXPENDITURE & CAPITAL RENEWAL $0M $10M $20M $30M $40M $50M $60M $70M 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 Outside plant Core network equipment Drops CPE & distribution electronics
OPERATING EXPENSES SUMMARY Labor O&M • Fiber technicians • Customer service representatives • Integrity Manager • GIS analysts • IT Specialists • Account representatives 5 Cost categories considered to create full retail operations from scratch Parametric non-labor O&M • Underground fiber locates and repairs • Fiber maintenance and relocations • Core network electronics maintenance • CPE maintenance • Education and training • Customer billing • Bad debt allowance • Commodity internet capacity • Pole attachment lease fees Other non-labor O&M • Insurance • Utilities • Office expenses • Legal expenses • Marketing
BASE CASE: OPERATIONS AND MAINTENANCE EXPENSES 6 Annual operating expenses rise over time with inflation and labor rates OPERATIONS & MAINTENANCE $0M $5M $10M $15M $20M $25M 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 Labor O&M Parametric non-labor O&M Other non-labor O&M
BASE CASE: PROJECTED REVENUES AT 40% TAKE-RATE 7 Assumes average of $70/mo., rising 3% per year ($30/mo. for low-income residents) REVENUE $0M $5M $10M $15M $20M $25M $30M $35M $40M 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 Subscription revenue Connection fee revenue
FINANCIAL MODEL • Capital expenses: Outside plant, network equipment, drops, CPE, buildout schedule, etc. • Pricing: Target pricing based on market, mix of full paying vs. low-income • Take-rate / adoption curve: Steady state take-rate, take-rate ramp up, churn • Operating expenditures: – Labor costs – Non-labor parametric operating costs (e.g., $x per pole times n poles) – Other non-labor operating costs (e.g., $x per month for insurance) • Inflation adjustment (capex, opex, revenue) • Capital grant funding: City subsidy to reduce initial capital expenses • Financing conditions: Interest rate, expected return on equity, debt-to-equity ratio, term, etc. 8 A custom financial model was developed to understand the project’s business case and key sensitivities with the following key inputs:
FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS • The financial feasibility analysis does not include assumptions around how the citywide FTTP network is funded or financed, but assesses whether the project requires external funding for it to be financially feasible based on the fundamentals of the operational cash flows (revenue, capex, and opex) • The financial model calculates the internal rate of return of the project (project IRR) using the operational cash flows over the construction period and 25 years of operations • To evaluate financial feasibility, the analysis determines what combination of take-rates and public funding, if any, would be necessary to achieve a sufficient project IRR (assumed to be 10%), given certain assumptions about average revenue per user (ARPU) • The report includes sensitivity analysis on the baseline feasibility assessment for the following key variables: Capex, opex, ARPU, and project term 9 The baseline feasibility analysis examines the overall attractiveness of the project from a commercial perspective
FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS OUTPUTS 10 Our baseline financial feasibility analysis shows that a ~$150 million upfront contribution combined with a 40% take rate would achieve a project IRR of ~10%. The sensitivity analysis shows how changes in pricing and capex amounts affect the required upfront capital contribution. Scenario / sensitivity Required upfront capital contribution at different take rates 30% 40% 50% Baseline analysis (30% capex contingency) $178M $151M $126M Baseline analysis with $10 lower pricing $206M* $185M $165M Baseline analysis with $10 higher pricing $152M $121M $91M Baseline analysis with 20% capex contingency $158M $130M $172M Baseline analysis with 40% capex contingency $199M* $172M $148M *Required upfront capital contribution amount exceeds overall capex
PARTNERSHIP OPTIONS 11 Partnership could offer significant advantages while the City could meet key goals What City could gain… …what City could give up… …what City could retain • De-risking business model through market validation • Operational and marketing expertise in a highly competitive and fast- changing business • Potential private capital investment to reduce upfront costs • Upside revenue potential • Control over day-to-day business operations and market rate setting • Fiber service to all City premises • City long-term ownership of fiber infrastructure • Affordable options and pricing control for low-income households • Key policy goals around data privacy and net neutrality
INTEREST IN A PARTNERSHIP IS LIKELY STRONG • Given the attractive Cambridge market, a number of ISPs and infrastructure companies would likely look at a City RFP seriously • P3 investors are very comfortable with City owning the asset and the P3 investor having a long-term commercialization opportunity • Some ISPs also might be willing to lease City fiber, but others would want fiber ownership • Some ISPs require a larger footprint (now or in near future) than Cambridge, but they would explore this themselves 12 A range of companies may be interested in partnering with the City
13 Passive Infrastructure Active Infrastructure Service Provision Building and maintaining dark fiber network Setting up and operating active electronics on network Delivering broadband services to subscribers PARTNERSHIPS: ELEMENTS OF THE BROADBAND NETWORK Business models are distinguished largely by defining the role of parties at each scope element of the network
14 Model # Passive Infrastructure Active Infrastructure Service Provision 1 City funded/financed and maintained Muni ISP (Broadband department or outsourced) 2 City funded/financed and maintained ISP (one or multiple) 3 City funded/financed and maintained Active Infra contractor Multiple ISPs / open market 4 (Largely) privately funded/financed, privately maintained and operated The business models differ regarding how the three scope elements are combined into one or several contracts, and how competition is structured in the marketplace SUMMARY OF BUSINESS MODELS
Models 2 and 4 are likely to attract strong market interest, with Model 4 transferring most responsibilities, risk, and control to a private party BUSINESS MODEL TAKEAWAYS • The City lacks the operational experience and expertise to successfully implement a citywide network as required under Business Model 1, making this model less feasible and attractive to the City • Business Model 2 is a viable and attractive business model for the City which leverages the City’s access to relatively cheap capital to develop the Passive Infrastructure while transferring most of the operational and commercial risks to a private partner • Business Model 3 is the least proven model, which builds on Business Model 2 to potentially enable more competition but creates additional contractual layers which adds significant complexity and is less familiar to the market • Business Model 4 increases private sector involvement across all project scope elements to also include developing and financing Passive Infrastructure • Regardless of the business model selected, the project will likely require an upfront capital contribution from the City. But partners may also bring economies of scale and existing assets to the table, potentially reducing the magnitude of the contribution
TIMELINE AND POTENTIAL NEXT STEPS Below is an indicative 18 to 24 months roadmap that would occur once the City makes its initial “go-forward” decision Conduct market sounding Select business model & draft term sheet Launch RFI based on term sheet Prepare procurement documentation Launch procurement & conduct one-on-one meetings Evaluate bids & select preferred bidder Conduct final negotiations Award contract City decision
17 QUESTIONS AND DISCUSSION
18 APPENDIX
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: CAPEX To meet 10 percent project IRR, the upfront capital contribution could be higher or lower than if capital costs or take-rates are higher or lower than in the base case Capex sensitivity Required upfront capital contribution at different take rates 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 20% capex contingency $158M $143M $130M $117M $105M 30% capex contingency (base case) $178M $164M $151M $138M $126M 40% capex contingency $199M* $184M $172M $159M $148M *Required upfront capital contribution amount exceeds overall capex
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: OPEX To meet 10 percent project IRR, the upfront capital contribution could be higher or lower if opex is higher or lower than in the base case *Required upfront capital contribution amount exceeds overall capex Opex assumption relative to baseline Required upfront capital contribution at different take rates 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 10% decrease in opex $165M $151M $139M $126M $114M Base case $178M $164M $151M $138M $126M 10% increase in opex $191M* $177M $164M $151M $139M 20% increase in opex $205M* $190M $178M $164M $153M
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: AVERAGE REVENUE PER USER Changes in pricing dramatically affect the required upfront capital contribution required to meet 10 percent project IRR Pricing assumption relative to baseline Required upfront capital contribution at different take rates 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Low income/full paying: $20/$50 $230M* $223M* $217M* $210M* $203M* Low income/full paying: $20/$60 $206M* $195M* $185M $174M $165M Low income/full paying: $30/$60 $202M* $190M $180M $169M $159M Low income/full paying: $30/$70 $178M $164M $151M $138M $126M Low income/full paying: $30/$80 $156M $140M $125M $110M $96M Low income/full paying: $40/$80 $152M $136M $121M $105M $91M Low income/full paying: $40/$90 $133M $114M $96M $79M $62M *Required upfront capital contribution amount exceeds overall capex
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: OPERATING PERIOD Upfront capital contribution required to meet 10 percent project IRR with varying operating periods, at different take rates Operating period duration Required upfront capital contribution at different take rates 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 20-year operations period $182M* $169M $158M $146M $136M 25-year operations period (base case) $178M $164M $151M $138M $126M 30-year operations Period $178M $162M $148M $134M $121M *Required upfront capital contribution amount exceeds overall capex
SURVEY METHODOLOGY • 5,000 survey packets mailed to a random set of Cambridge residential addresses • Of these, 3,000 went to low-income households (to plan for typically lower response) • Goal was 450 responses; results exceeded goal, with 604 responses • Results developed data on relevant topics including o Current providers used and prices paid o Willingness to switch to a new FTTP provider at various price points o Level of support for City taking on a role or subsidizing 23 Mailed survey was met with a strong response and has high degree of statistical validity
10% 6% 4% 7% 5% 13% 5% 3% 7% 6% 33% 16% 22% 17% 13% 9% 27% 32% 25% 31% 35% 46% 39% 44% 45% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% < $50k $50-$99k $100-$149k $150-$199k $200k + 1 - Strongly Disagree 2 - Disagree 3 - Neutral 4 - Agree 5 - Strongly Agree MARKET OVERVIEW • 66% agreed or strongly agreed that City should facilitate building a fiber broadband network, even if this requires tax subsidy • Modest differences in such support between owners and renters (61% vs. 68%) 24 Statistically valid survey shows community support for a municipal fiber network, even if a tax subsidy is required Agreement with Statement: “The City Should Facilitate a Fiber Broadband Network, Even If This Requires a Tax Subsidy” Notes: Citywide mail survey conducted to a random sample of 5,000 households in summer of 2022, with 604 responses exceeding target and providing 95% confidence that the results are within 4% of the population as a whole
MARKET OVERVIEW • 87% believe there is need for an additional ISP • Interest in switching strong among Comcast subscribers (58% likely or very likely) • Interest in switching weaker for Starry subscribers (17% likely or very likely) 25 Survey also shows baseline interest in switching to new internet options, particularly among Comcast subscribers 2% 15% 4% 6% 8% 8% 34% 60% 35% 32% 8% 29% 26% 9% 25% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Cable modem (Comcast), n=461 Fixed wireless (Starry), n=50 All Respondents, n=577 1 - Not at all likely 2 - Slightly likely 3 - Moderately likely 4 - Very likely 5 - Extremely likely Likelihood of Acquiring New Internet Service Notes: Citywide mail survey conducted to a random sample of 5,000 households in summer of 2022, with 604 responses exceeding target and providing 95% confidence that the results are within 4% of the population as a whole
MARKET OVERVIEW 26 Comparison can be challenging because of differences in speed, bundled services, customer experience, and promotional pricing, but the market generally prices FTTP products close to cable offerings, around $70/month Cambridge provider Gigabit internet-only service Monthly price Comcast (Internet/phone/cable – range of prices based on services and promotions chosen) 1 Gbps download, 35 Mbps upload (company says symmetrical gig speeds are in development) $70* (promotional price; rises to $102 after 24 months) Starry (fixed wireless internet) 1 Gbps download/500 Mbps upload (in optimal conditions) $80 FTTP competitor in other markets Google Fiber (internet) 1 Gbps symmetrical $70 Ting Internet (internet) 1 Gbps symmetrical $89 Notes: FTTP = Fiber To The Premises, which references deployments where fibers extends all the way to the end-user and offers higher speed and reliability *Prices reflect $10 discount for enrolling in auto-pay. Offer includes free 12 months of HBO Max with ads.
MARKET OVERVIEW • Pricing: The service would offer symmetrical gigabit service with indicative price points of $70 gigabit ($30 for low-income households, aligned with Affordable Connectivity Program) – but would likely face promotional pricing pressure from existing providers • Product: While a fiber product would initially provide a stronger product, Comcast is focused on infrastructure improvements that could achieve gig symmetry • Brand: A key competitive advantage would be brand with marketing focused on local pride and values (data privacy, net neutrality, digital equity, strong local customer service) to drive adoption and win loyalty • Public Policy Goals: A municipal offering could ensure policy goals that aren’t being met in the market, including increased competition, digital equity, data privacy, and net neutrality 27 Municipal FTTP would primarily compete on a strong local brand with similar pricing to existing cable offerings, while achieving key public policy goals
MARKET OVERVIEW • Successful publicly traded telcos with FTTP operations focus on achieving 35-40% market penetration • Higher market penetration above 40% is possible in markets with weak or no cable competitor; successful case examples with municipal FTTP networks are mostly run by municipal electric companies with an existing customer base • Municipal FTTP networks that are ending up lower than 30% exhibit poor execution, competition from both cable and telco FTTP (i.e., Verizon FiOS), and are mostly suburban markets 28 Based on national benchmarks, a target take-rate of 30-40% seems feasible in Cambridge with strong operational and marketing execution Wired competitors Take rate range for new competitor Weak DSL High ‘40s & above Weak DSL and cable (Cambridge market) 35-40% Partial fiber or fast DSL and cable 30-40% Extensive fiber and cable 12-30%
DESIGN OVERVIEW • Citywide FTTP comprised of 130.3 route miles • 80.9 miles (62.1%) aerial (utility poles available) • 49.4 miles (37.9%) underground • Redundant core hub sites and fully diverse backbone ring • 42 primary Fiber Distribution Cabinets (FDCs) • Connected to core hubs over fully diverse primary distribution routes • Each serves up to 1,500 subscribers • Supports passive and/or active electronics 29
DESIGN OVERVIEW 30 Backbone and Primary Distribution
DESIGN OVERVIEW 31 Backbone, Primary Distribution, and Secondary Distribution
32 “LAYER 0” CONCEPTUAL DESIGN Distribution Vault Tap Access Handhole Drop Access Handhole FDC Hub Primary Distribution Conduit Secondary Distribution Conduit Access Conduit
PRIMARY CONDUIT CONFIGURATION TYPES AND UNIT COST ESTIMATES (COMPOSITE BORE / TRENCH) 33 Scenario 1: 38% underground / 62% aerial Note: Pricing includes all labor and material costs for conduit installation, including tracer wire and hard rock contingency. Pricing does not include handholes or fiber-related labor and material. $64.20 per foot ~3.4 miles $58.2 per foot ~28.1 miles Secondary Distribution and Drop Access Drop Access Conduit - 1" Secondary Distribution - 2" Primary & Secondary Distribution, Drop Access Primary Distribution - 2" Drop Access Conduit - 1" Primary Distribution - 2" Secondary Distribution - 2" $71.20 per foot ~6.7 miles $65.20 per foot ~2.3 miles Primary Distribution - 2" Primary Distribution - 2" Drop Access Conduit - 1" Primary Distribution and Drop Access Backbone & Secondary Distribution Secondary Distribution - 2" Backbone - 2" Drop Access Conduit - 1" Drop Access $56.70 per foot ~10.9 miles $56.70 per foot ~48.0 miles Drop Access Microduct <22 mm
INSTALLATION TYPICALS 34 Vaults and Strand Trench Profiles Buried warning tape GRADE 2" 6" 4" 4" Finished roadway surface (if applicable) Flowable Fill or sand in pipe area Compacted Aggregate backfill / subbase Tamped / undisturbed soil Trench Details 4 x 2-inch HDPE conduits, minimum ¾-inch separation Concrete base (if applicable) 24" min. 6" - 12" 6" min. Typical Vault Installation GRADE 2-inch HDPE conduits Tamped / undisturbed soil Min 4" Min 12" Compacted select backfill 6" bed of #57 crushed stone Add 1" to 2" of additional crushed stone / gravel inside vault base 10 AWG insulated tracer wire 5/8-inch diameter ground rod, minimum 10 feet long, 25 ohm test Ground rod clamp 1" to 3"
INSTALLATION TYPICALS Road/ Sidewalk Microtrench Details (Free Flowing Grout) Max 14" GRADE Free flowing non-shrink grout (road sub-base behind) Asphalt Pavement (existing) Free flowing non-shrink grout (road base behind) Free flowing non-shrink grout (asphalt pavement behind) Microduct Road Base (existing) Road Sub-base (existing) 1/3 Asphalt Thickness Max 6" Free flowing non-shrink grout Keyed, Milled, Final Hot Patch Mix Cut to Fit Width of Microduct (Max .75") Min 1.5x trench width Pea Gravel to hold Microduct flat and prevent floating during grouting (Space Min 9' apart) Place warning tape prior to grouting Max 15" Microduct Cross Section View Profile Veiw 35 Microtrench
PRIMARY VAULT CONFIGURATION TYPES AND UNIT COST ESTIMATES 36 Note: Pricing includes all labor and material costs for vault / handhole installation, including ground rods. Pricing does not include conduit or fiber-related labor and material. $1,105 each Qty. 3,039 Drop Access Handhole (12”x12”x12”) $1,455 each Qty. 638 Tap Access Handhole (18”x30”x18” Distribution Vault (24”x36”x36”) $3,255 each Qty. 58 Equipment Vault (30”x48”x36”) $6,655 each Qty. 16 Scenario 1: 38% underground / 62% aerial
37 S A M P L E SAMPLE MAP Primary Distribution Hub Facility Primary Distribution Route FDC
38 S A M P L E SAMPLE MAP Secondary Distribution FDC Tap Terminal Secondary Distribution Route
39 S A M P L E SAMPLE MAP Access segments Tap Terminal Tertiary Route / Service Drop
40 S A M P L E SAMPLE MAP Combined distribution & access segments Hub Facility Primary Distribution Route FDC Tap Terminal Secondary Distribution Route Tertiary Route / Service Drop
FIELD SURVEY RESULTS • Survey of all 156 miles of candidate public right-of-way • 62.1% aerial (utility poles available) • 37.9% underground • Estimate utility pole make-ready costs to be $4.1 million based on design encompassing a total of 130.3 route miles (underground and aerial) 41 Make-Ready Attribute Make-Ready Survey Classification Type A Type B Type C Total estimated utility poles along routes of each classification 3,603 412 28 Percent of poles requiring make ready 25.0% 50.0% 75.0% Cost per existing attachment relocation $500 $500 $500 Percent of poles requiring replacement 5.0% 10.0% 25.0% Average attachments per pole 1.0 2.0 2.0 Average poles per mile 50 50 50 Cost per pole replacement $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 Estimated make-ready cost per foot $8.29 $18.94 $42.61 Total Strand (ft) 380,443 43,552 2,989 Total Strand (mi) 72.05 8.25 0.57 Total make-ready cost $2,837,112 $742,371 $114,631
NETWORK ELECTRONICS & FIBER COMPONENT REFERENCE DESIGN Flexible architecture capable of supporting multiple electronics architectures and/or multiple providers with differing approaches 42 Hub Site n x 10 Gbps links over redundant backbone routes Spare fiber capacity for limited Active Ethernet and Metro Ethernet services Dedicated Fiber Optic Strand from FDC to Each Subscriber Tap Core Network Single Customer ONU Large customer/MDU access devices (wavelength services, dedicated 1 Gbps to 100 Gbps Ethernet, G.Fast aggregation) Access Layer Backbone Layer Distribution Layer ~1,500 passings per FDC GPON OLT / Ethernet Switch CR MJ MN MGT - 1 MGT - 4 MGT FTA ACO Calix E7 -2- -1- -2- -1- GPON 1 GPON 2 GPON 3 GPON 4 SFP 1 SFP 2 SFP 3 SFP 4 SFP 5 SFP 6 SFP 7 SFP 8 XFP 1 XFP 2 SFP + 1 SFP + 2 GPON-4 FAIL SRVC CT RL GPON 1 GPON 2 GPON 3 GPON 4 SFP 1 SFP 2 SFP 3 SFP 4 SFP 5 SFP 6 SFP 7 SFP 8 XFP 1 XFP 2 SFP + 1 SFP + 2 GPON-4 FAIL SRVC CT RL CR MJ MN MGT - 1 MGT - 4 MGT FTA ACO Calix E7 -2- -1- -2- -1- GPON 1 GPON 2 GPON 3 GPON 4 SFP 1 SFP 2 SFP 3 SFP 4 SFP 5 SFP 6 SFP 7 SFP 8 XFP 1 XFP 2 SFP + 1 SFP + 2 GPON-4 FAIL SRVC CT RL GPON 1 GPON 2 GPON 3 GPON 4 SFP 1 SFP 2 SFP 3 SFP 4 SFP 5 SFP 6 SFP 7 SFP 8 XFP 1 XFP 2 SFP + 1 SFP + 2 GPON-4 FAIL SRVC CT RL CR MJ MN MGT - 1 MGT - 4 MGT FTA ACO Calix E7 -2- -1- -2- -1- GPON 1 GPON 2 GPON 3 GPON 4 SFP 1 SFP 2 SFP 3 SFP 4 SFP 5 SFP 6 SFP 7 SFP 8 XFP 1 XFP 2 SFP + 1 SFP + 2 GPON-4 FAIL SRVC CT RL GPON 1 GPON 2 GPON 3 GPON 4 SFP 1 SFP 2 SFP 3 SFP 4 SFP 5 SFP 6 SFP 7 SFP 8 XFP 1 XFP 2 SFP + 1 SFP + 2 GPON-4 FAIL SRVC CT RL FDC CR MJ MN MGT - 1 MGT - 4 MGT FTA ACO Calix E7 -2- -1- -2- -1- GPON 1 GPON 2 GPON 3 GPON 4 SFP 1 SFP 2 SFP 3 SFP 4 SFP 5 SFP 6 SFP 7 SFP 8 XFP 1 XFP 2 SFP + 1 SFP + 2 GPON-4 FAIL SRVC CT RL GPON 1 GPON 2 GPON 3 GPON 4 SFP 1 SFP 2 SFP 3 SFP 4 SFP 5 SFP 6 SFP 7 SFP 8 XFP 1 XFP 2 SFP + 1 SFP + 2 GPON-4 FAIL SRVC CT RL PROVIDER B PROVIDER A Splitters GPON OLT / Ethernet Switch Core Router Core Router
INFRASTRUCTURE BUILDOUT • Field survey conducted by a team of senior telecommunications outside plant (OSP) engineers – Physical walk-out or drive survey of 100% of 156 miles of candidate public right of way: 62.1% aerial (utility poles available) + 37.9% underground – Data collected in real-time using custom GPS/GIS tools to accurately record findings • Generated GIS data to inform cost estimates and market conditions – Presence of existing utility poles – Make-ready assessment of utility poles – Presence of existing broadband infrastructure (cable, fiber, legacy telecom) 43 Extensive field survey work was conducted to develop preliminary design and inform capital expenditure estimate Notes: See Appendix for more detail
INFRASTRUCTURE BUILDOUT • Citywide FTTP comprised of 130.3 route miles: – 80.9 miles (62.1%) aerial (utility poles available) – 49.4 miles (37.9%) underground • Key elements would include redundant core hub sites, fully diverse backbone ring, and primary/secondary distribution • 42 primary Fiber Distribution Cabinets (FDCs) – Connected to core hubs over fully diverse primary distribution routes – Each serves up to 1,500 subscribers – Supports passive and/or active electronics 44 Based on field survey, the proposed network design would create a robust infrastructure that could serve the city with leading edge technology for decades
MUNICIPAL LIGHT PLANT (MLP) STRUCTURE • An MLP is a Massachusetts legal entity that enables a municipality to directly run an electricity, gas or (more recently) communications business – Some longstanding MLPs that provide electricity (e.g., Braintree, Norwood) entered the cable broadband business about 20 years ago leveraging utility expertise and assets – Certain rural western Massachusetts towns created MLP structures solely to provide broadband service using one-shot state capital grants, but the context differs • Creating a Cambridge MLP would be required if the City wishes to directly run a broadband business, but by itself does not affect business feasibility • The City does not need an MLP to build a network that would be operated by a partner who would in turn provide broadband service 45 MLPs are used by some Massachusetts municipalities that directly run broadband businesses in particular contexts Note: Statements are general in nature and subject to updated legal guidance by qualified counsel. Neither CTC nor Rebel provide legal advice.
COST ESTIMATION OBJECTIVES 46 Purpose-built analysis to support strategic broadband planning Understand the range of costs to deploy a state-of-the-art FTTP network under various scenarios for scope and construction methodologies • Physical fiber plant construction and design – aerial vs underground, MDU connectivity and interior wiring • Network hub facilities – redundancy and scale, use of existing facilities • Network electronics at varying take-rates • Customer activation costs (service drops and CPE) at varying take-rates Inform financial modeling and negotiations with candidate private partners • Generate breakdowns of component parts corresponding to division of capex contributions for most likely partnership scenarios and targeted populations – Active vs passive infrastructure – Wiring of MDUs containing affordable housing • Collect field data and analysis that can be shared with candidate partners to support their own cost modeling – Determine availability of existing utility poles and ascertain pole make-ready cost factors – Characterize make-up of MDU structure types and related deployment cost