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A communication transmitted from Yi-An Huang, City Manager, relative to the City of Cambridge retaining its Triple A (AAA) rating from the nation's three major credit rating agencies.
U.S. Public Finance
CREDIT OPINION
13 February 2026
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VP-Senior Analyst
[email removed]
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Associate Managing Director
[email removed]
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City of Cambridge, MA
Update to credit analysis
Summary
Cambridge's (Aaa stable) credit profile is strong and will likely remain strong. The city
benefits from a dynamic economy that is anchored by world renowned higher education
institutions and a substantial research and development sector. The large R&D sector results
in significant taxpayer concentration with the top ten taxpayers representing 29.9% of total
assessed value and 43.3% of the total tax levy. The credit strength of the top taxpayer, the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT, Aaa stable) helps to mitigate this concentration
risk. MIT represented 11% of total AV and 15.9% of the tax levy in fiscal 2026. The city also
benefits from a high resident income ratio of 144% and very strong full (equalized) value per
capita of $724,819.
The total tax base value declined 4.1% in 2026 and is projected to decline another 4.1% in
2027 given material contraction of commercial and industrial sector values. The valuation
decline started in 2025 and is projected to continue through 2029 (see exhibit). The
challenges in the commercial office and lab subsectors have resulted in high vacancy rates
and lack of demand that no longer supports the supply.
The city’s financial position is expected to remain healthy given strong fiscal management
and significant operating flexibility that will help maintain stability despite the weakness
in the tax base. Cambridge plans to moderate budget growth through 2030, targeting
property tax levy growth of less than 7% annually and to limit annual operating budget
increases to less than 5%. Property tax revenue is expected to continue to increase because
of Massachusetts municipalities ability to increase the tax levy within the tax levy limits
despite a decline in the tax base value. The city ended fiscal 2025 with an available fund
balance ratio of 53.9%.
The city's long-term liabilities ratio was 167.8% as of June 30, 2025. Leverage will likely
remain moderate given the city’s commitment to fully funding its pension liability by 2029
and addressing the OPEB liability over the long-term. As part of moderating budget growth,
the city plans to reduce fiscal 2027-30 debt issuance and planned capital outlays.
Moody's Ratings
U.S. Public Finance
Exhibit 1
Cambridge's tax base value is projected to be impacted by commercial/industrial value declines through 2029
Cambridge's actual and projected total assessed value by fiscal year
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027(P)
2028(P)
2029(P)
2030(P)
Billions
Residential AV
Commercial/Industrial AV
Personal Property AV
(P)=projection. Residential sector assumes existing residential value change of 2% in 2027, 3% in 2028 to 2030. New construction of $300 million in 2027, $350 million in 2028 and 2029,
$450 million in 2030. Commercial/Industrial sector assumes existing value change of -15.5% in 2027, -8% in 2028, -5% in 2029, 0% in 2030. New construction of $400 million in 2027,
$450 million in 2028 and 2029, and $550 million in 2030.
Source: City of Cambridge, MA
Credit strengths
» Economy anchored by institutional presence
» Ample operating flexibility given a large amount of unused levy capacity under the tax levy limit
» Strong reserves and liquidity
Credit challenges
» Taxpayer concentration in research and development
» Tax base value declines in the commercial/industrial sectors expected through 2029
» Maintaining service levels in line with community expectations
Rating outlook
The stable outlook reflects the city's strong fiscal management and governance that is committed to maintaining a healthy financial
position based on conservative budget forecasting and formal policies. The outlook also incorporates the significant institutional
presence that is expected to help maintain a strong labor force, tax base stability and attract private investment in the city.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade
» Not applicable
Factors that could lead to a downgrade
» Decline in available fund balance ratio to less than 35%
This publication does not announce a credit rating action. For any credit ratings referenced in this publication, please see the issuer/deal page on https://ratings.moodys.com for the
most updated credit rating action information and rating history.
2 13 February 2026
City of Cambridge, MA: Update to credit analysis
Moody's Ratings
U.S. Public Finance
» Significant increase in the long-term liabilities ratio to 350%
» Sustained decline in economic metrics or the tax base value that begins to impact the ability to generate revenue growth
Key indicators
Exhibit 2
Cambridge (City of) MA
2022
2023
2024
2025
Aaa Medians
Economy
Resident income ratio (%)
144.1%
144.3%
N/A
N/A
167.9%
Full Value ($000)
$63,505,736
$70,337,059
$70,337,059
$85,379,282
$9,704,244
Population
117,962
117,794
N/A
N/A
36,112
Full value per capita ($)
$538,358
$597,119
N/A
N/A
$239,458
Annual Growth in Real GDP
2.4%
1.5%
N/A
N/A
2.1%
Financial Performance
Revenue ($000)
$887,598
$952,847
$1,107,683
$1,090,980
$116,165
Available fund balance ($000)
$435,189
$461,527
$587,056
$587,700
$78,547
Net unrestricted cash ($000)
$836,477
$867,098
$979,836
$974,896
$109,144
Available fund balance ratio (%)
49.0%
48.4%
53.0%
53.9%
65.8%
Liquidity ratio (%)
94.2%
91.0%
88.5%
89.4%
93.9%
Leverage
Debt ($000)
$553,675
$575,045
$681,103
$762,644
$81,498
Adjusted net pension liabilities ($000)
$855,937
$572,427
$608,449
$419,135
$71,276
Adjusted net OPEB liabilities ($000)
$822,104
$642,836
$616,946
$592,709
$10,296
Other long-term liabilities ($000)
$46,840
$49,462
$54,319
$56,412
$4,168
Long-term liabilities ratio (%)
256.7%
193.1%
177.0%
167.8%
183.1%
Fixed costs
Implied debt service ($000)
$36,961
$38,669
$39,946
$47,139
$5,076
Pension tread water contribution ($000)
$18,603
$10,014
$25,068
N/A
$3,403
OPEB contributions ($000)
$24,151
$26,418
$27,817
$30,931
$543
Implied cost of other long-term liabilities ($000)
$3,099
$3,271
$3,436
$3,759
$279
Fixed-costs ratio (%)
9.3%
8.2%
8.7%
9.8%
10.0%
For definitions of the metrics in the table above please refer to the US Cities and Counties Methodology or see the Glossary in the Appendix below. Metrics represented as N/A indicate the
data were not available at the time of publication. The medians come from our most recently published US Cities and Counties Median Report.
The real GDP annual growth metric cited above is for the Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH Metropolitan Statistical Area.
Sources: US Census Bureau, Cambridge (City of) MA s financial statements and Moody s Ratings, US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Profile
Cambridge is a large and diverse community that neighbors the City of Boston (Aaa stable) across the Charles River. The city
has around 118,000 residents and its economy is anchored by Harvard University (Aaa stable) and MIT. The city provides general
governmental services including police and fire protection, public preK-12 education, parks and recreation, health and social services,
libraries and culture, and maintenance of streets and highways.
Detailed credit considerations
Economy: strong institutional presence will likely contribute to long-term economic stability while managing short-term
challenges from CRE and macroeconomic changes
Cambridge's economy benefits from the presence of Harvard and MIT which together enroll around 33,000 students and provide
employment to over 22,000 full-time positions (roughly 16% of the city's workforce). The city's economic growth as measured by
the Boston MSA's five year CAGR of real GDP compared to the US real GDP remains positive at 0.3%. The city's largest industries are
professional and business services and education and health services including the vibrant biotechnology and pharmaceutical sectors.
The top 10 taxpayers are concentrated and represent 30% of 2026 total assessed value. MIT, owner of significant taxable property, is
the largest taxpayer representing 11% of AV.
The economy will continue to be impacted over the next few years by tariffs, reduced investment, and shifts in the commercial
real estate market. Currently, the unemployment rate remains in line with the state and nation. However, tax base value is likely to
3 13 February 2026
City of Cambridge, MA: Update to credit analysis
Moody's Ratings
U.S. Public Finance
decline slightly with limited growth through 2030. Total AV declined by 4.1% in 2026 and the city is projecting total AV to decline by
another 4.1% in 2027. From 2025 to 2029 the commercial and industrial sectors combined could decline by 31.7% based on actual and
projected value changes.
While the next five years will be a challenge for the city's economy, the city's long-term strengths, including low tax rates and access to
a strong and highly educated work force, will help the city maintain its strong credit profile through the economic cycle. This is evident
by a number of companies that have recently committed to new presence in the city. The headquarters of Moderna was completed in
2024, the US headquarters of Takeda (Baa1 stable) and Astra Zeneca (A1 stable) are currently under construction. Additionally, Biogen
Inc. (Baa2 stable) also has plans to relocate in the city with a smaller footprint but newer space.
Exhibit 3
Resident Income continues to be strong and a key strength for the city's economy
Median household income ($)
Resident income ratio (%)
Median resident income ratio
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
$0
$50,000
$100,000
120%
140%
160%
180%
Source: US Census Bureau - American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates; US Bureau of Economic Analysis; Moody's Ratings
Financial operations: city plans to tap unused levy capacity and reduce budget growth to maintain healthy financial
position during challenging economic cycle
Cambridge's financial position is likely to remain healthy over the next few years because of strong fiscal management and significant
revenue flexibility. The city plans to reduce budget growth and tap unused levy capacity through 2030 to mitigate the stagnant tax
base value growth and weather a challenging economy.
The city anticipates a fiscal 2027 budget and preliminary targets for fiscal 2028 through 2030 to have less than a 7% annual increase
to the property tax levy and an overall operating budget growth of less than 5%. While these budget projections still provide for
healthy growth it does represent a decline for Cambridge given its history of above-average budget growth compared to most cities, to
cover high service level demands from taxpayers and investment in key initiatives including sustainability and affordable housing.
Cambridge is one of the few municipalities that has a large amount of unused levy capacity under Proposition 2½. In fiscal 2026
unused capacity totaled $173 million representing 17% of the operating budget. The city projects it could tap this unused capacity each
year through 2030. This could result in a decline in unused capacity to $125 million or 10% of the projected 2030 operating budget, a
still healthy amount.
The city is well positioned to continue to increase property taxes based on projections given favorable residential and commercial tax
rates. The city's fiscal 2026 residential tax rate was $6.67 (per $1,000 of value) and the commercial rate increased to $14.07. These
rates compare favorably to Boston's rates of $12.40 and $26.96, respectively, and the Massachusetts average of $12.18 and $15.18.
4 13 February 2026
City of Cambridge, MA: Update to credit analysis
Moody's Ratings
U.S. Public Finance
Exhibit 4
Fund Balance Ratio is likely to remain healthy given plenty of revenue growth flexibility
0%
20%
40%
60%
2022
2023
2024
2025
Available fund balance ratio
Median available fund balance ratio
Source: Audited financial statements; Moody's Ratings
Liquidity
The city's net unrestricted cash and investments across governmental and business-type activities at the end of fiscal 2025 was $974.9
million representing a high 89.4% of revenue. The cash position is higher than the available reserves because of cash that is designated
as restricted reserves including $260.5 million in the capital fund, plus additional funds in the city grants fund and other governmental
funds.
Leverage
Cambridge's leverage will likely remain in line with Aaa-rated peers given the city's debt plans, formal debt policy, and funding
commitment towards the unfunded pension and OPEB liabilities. As part of the city's plans to moderate budget growth the amount of
debt issuance over the next four years is expected to be reduced from last year's estimates by around $60 million. Total debt issuance
through 2030 is estimated at $696 million.
The city ended fiscal 2025 with a long-term liabilities ratio of 167.8% of revenue. The city's debt accounts for 42% of the total leverage
ratio while adjusted net pension liability and adjusted net OPEB liability represent another 23% and 32%, respectively. We project the
long-term liabilities ratio will remain relatively flat-to-declining over the next five years.
Exhibit 5
Total Primary Government - Long Term Liabilities - likely to remain in line with Aaa-rated peers
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
2022
2023
2024
2025
Long-term liabilities ratio
Median long-term liabilities ratio
Source: Audited financial statements; Moody's Ratings
5 13 February 2026
City of Cambridge, MA: Update to credit analysis
Moody's Ratings
U.S. Public Finance
Debt structure
All of the city's debt is fixed rate and amortizes over the long-term with a final maturity of 2046. Under the city's formal debt policy
at least 70% of principal is retired in 10 years. Currently, 86% is being retired in ten years based on the current amortization of
outstanding debt.
Debt-related derivatives
Cambridge is not party to any interest rate swaps or other debt-related derivative agreements.
Pensions and OPEB
Cambridge's pension and OPEB liabilities are larger than its debt burden and, though manageable at this time, represent a potential
future credit challenge. The city participates in the Cambridge Retirement Plan, a multi-employer defined benefit plan and makes
annual required contributions. The latest actuarial report assumes a 7.1% discount rate with a funding date of 2029 on a reported basis.
The city's teachers participate in the Massachusetts Teachers Retirement System in which the city receives on-behalf payments toward
that liability that is covered by the Commonwealth.
The city also funds its OPEB liability on a pay-go basis plus annual budgeted deposits into an OPEB trust based on its funding policy.
The OPEB plan fiduciary net position is 5.75% of the total OPEB liability as of the end of fiscal 2025.
The 2025 fixed costs ratio of 9.8% is very favorable and will likely remain low. Additionally, the city's annual pension contributions
for the last five years have been significantly higher than the Moody's tread water indicator, which is the amount required to keep the
unfunded liability from increasing if all actuarial assumptions are realized, a reflection of the commitment to meet the 2029 pension
funding date.
ESG considerations
Exhibit 6
ESG credit impact score
Source: Moody's Ratings
Cambridge's ESG credit impact score of CIS-2 reflects above-average environmental exposure and strong social and governance
considerations that reflect in the city's credit quality, resiliency and ability to respond to shocks.
Exhibit 7
ESG issuer profile scores
Source: Moody's Ratings
6 13 February 2026
City of Cambridge, MA: Update to credit analysis
Moody's Ratings
U.S. Public Finance
Environmental
Cambridge has above-average exposure to environmental considerations given its physical climate risks associated with hurricanes and
other weather events given its geographical location. Other environmental considerations for carbon transition, natural capital, and
water and pollution risks are considered low.
Social
Cambridge's social considerations are strong. The city benefits from favorable educational attainment, a strong labor force and positive
health and safety. City residents also have access to basic services and the city benefits from stable demographics. Housing affordability
is a neutral to low risk but is a growing challenge.
Governance
Cambridge's governance considerations are strong. The city has a favorable institutional structure, transparency and disclosure. The
city also consistently approves and releases its budgets and audited financial statements in a timely manner. Cambridge’s budget
management and policy credibility and effectiveness are strong and is reflected in its healthy financial position and trend of balanced
operations.
Massachusetts cities and towns have a strong ability to match revenues to expenditures. While their primary operating revenue source
(property taxes) is subject to state-imposed caps, there are voter approved exemptions that allow for general overrides and exclusions
for debt service. State aid is another primary revenue source which mainly funds K-12 education provided by the cities and towns.
7 13 February 2026
City of Cambridge, MA: Update to credit analysis
Moody's Ratings
U.S. Public Finance
Rating methodology and scorecard factors
The US Cities and Counties Methodology includes a scorecard, which summarizes the rating factors generally most important to city
and county credit profiles. Because the scorecard is a summary, and may not include every consideration in the credit analysis for a
specific issuer, a scorecard-indicated outcome may or may not map closely to the actual rating assigned.
Exhibit 8
Cambridge (City of) MA
Measure
Weight
Score
Economy
Resident income ratio
144.3%
10.0%
Aaa
Full value per capita
724,819
10.0%
Aaa
Economic growth metric
0.3%
10.0%
Aaa
Financial Performance
Available fund balance ratio
53.9%
20.0%
Aaa
Liquidity ratio
89.4%
10.0%
Aaa
Institutional Framework
Institutional Framework
Aa
10.0%
Aa
Leverage
Long-term liabilities ratio
167.8%
20.0%
Aa
Fixed-costs ratio
9.8%
10.0%
Aaa
Notching factors
Additional Strength in Local Resources
0.5
Scorecard-Indicated Outcome
Aaa
Assigned Rating
Aaa
The Economic Growth metric cited above compares the five-year CAGR of real GDP for Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH Metropolitan Statistical Area to the five-year CAGR of real
GDP for the US.
Sources: US Census Bureau, Cambridge (City of) MA’s financial statements and Moody’s Ratings
8 13 February 2026
City of Cambridge, MA: Update to credit analysis
Moody's Ratings
U.S. Public Finance
Appendix
Exhibit 9
Key Indicators Glossary
Definition
Typical Source*
Economy
Resident income ratio
Median Household Income (MHI) for the city or county, adjusted for
Regional Price Parity (RPP), as a % of the US MHI
MHI: US Census Bureau - American
Community Survey 5-Year Estimates
RPP: US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Full value
Estimated market value of taxable property in the city or county
State repositories; audited financial
statements; continuing disclosures
Population
Population of the city or county
US Census Bureau - American Community
Survey 5-Year Estimates
Full value per capita
Full value / population
Economic growth metric
Five year CAGR of real GDP for Metropolitan Statistical Area or
county minus the five-year CAGR of real GDP for the US
Real GDP: US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Financial performance
Revenue
Sum of revenue from total governmental funds, operating and non-
operating revenue from total business-type activities, and non-
operating revenue from internal services funds, excluding transfers
and one-time revenue, e.g., bond proceeds or capital contributions
Audited financial statements
Available fund balance
Sum of all fund balances that are classified as unassigned, assigned or
committed in the total governmental funds, plus unrestricted current
assets minus current liabilities from the city's or county's business-
type activities and internal services funds
Audited financial statements
Net unrestricted cash
Sum of unrestricted cash in governmental activities, business type
activities and internal services fund, net of short-term debt
Audited financial statements
Available fund balance ratio
Available fund balance (including net current assets from business-
type activities and internal services funds) / Revenue
Liquidity ratio
Net unrestricted cash / Revenue
Leverage
Debt
Outstanding long-term bonds and all other forms of long-term debt
across the governmental and business-type activities, including debt
of another entity for which it has provided a guarantee disclosed in
its financial statements
Audited financial statements; official
statements
Adjusted net pension liabilities (ANPL)
Total primary government's pension liabilities adjusted by Moody's to
standardize the discount rate used to compute the present value of
accrued benefits
Audited financial statements; Moody’s
Ratings
Adjusted net OPEB liabilities (ANOL)
Total primary government's net other post-employment benefit
(OPEB) liabilities adjusted by Moody's to standardize the discount
rate used to compute the present value of accrued benefits
Audited financial statements; Moody’s
Ratings
Other long-term liabilities (OLTL)
Miscellaneous long-term liabilities reported under the governmental
and business-type activities entries
Audited financial statements
Long-term liabilities ratio
Debt + ANPL + ANOL + OLTL / Revenue
Fixed costs
Implied debt service
Annual cost to amortize city or county's long-term debt over 20
years with level payments
Audited financial statements; official
statements; Moody’s Ratings
Pension tread water contribution
Pension contribution necessary to prevent reported unfunded
pension liabilities from growing, year over year, in nominal dollars, if
all actuarial assumptions are met
Audited financial statements; Moody’s
Ratings
OPEB contribution
City or county's actual contribution in a given period
Audited financial statements
Implied cost of OLTL
Annual cost to amortize city or county's other long-term liabilities
over 20 years with level payments
Audited financial statements; Moody’s
Ratings
Fixed-costs ratio
Implied debt service + Pension tread water + OPEB contributions +
Implied cost of OLTL / Revenue
*Note: If typical data source is not available then alternative sources or proxy data may be considered. For more detailed definitions of the metrics listed above please refer to the US Cities
and Counties Methodology .
Source: Moody's Ratings
9 13 February 2026
City of Cambridge, MA: Update to credit analysis
Moody's Ratings
U.S. Public Finance
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